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About Pierre Simon de Laplace
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PierreSimon, marquis de Laplace
PierreSimon Laplace (1749–1827). Posthumous portrait by Madame Feytaud, 1842. Born 23 March 1749 BeaumontenAuge, Normandy, France Died 5 March 1827 (aged 77) Paris, France Nationality French Fields Astronomer and Mathematician Institutions École Militaire (1769–1776) Alma mater University of Caen Academic advisors Jean d'Alembert, Christophe Gadbled, Pierre Le Canu Doctoral students Siméon Denis Poisson Known for Work in Celestial Mechanics Laplace's equation Laplacian Laplace transform Laplace distribution Laplace's demon Laplace expansion Young–Laplace equation Laplace number Laplace limit Laplace invariant Laplace principle Signature
PierreSimon, marquis de Laplace (/ləˈplɑːs/; 23 March 1749 – 5 March 1827) was a French mathematician and astronomer whose work was pivotal to the development of mathematical astronomy and statistics. He summarized and extended the work of his predecessors in his fivevolume Mécanique Céleste (Celestial Mechanics) (1799–1825). This work translated the geometric study of classical mechanics to one based on calculus, opening up a broader range of problems. In statistics, the socalled Bayesian interpretation of probability was mainly developed by Laplace.[1]
Laplace formulated Laplace's equation, and pioneered the Laplace transform which appears in many branches of mathematical physics, a field that he took a leading role in forming. The Laplacian differential operator, widely used in mathematics, is also named after him. He restated and developed the nebular hypothesis of the origin of the solar system and was one of the first scientists to postulate the existence of black holes and the notion of gravitational collapse.
Laplace is remembered as one of the greatest scientists of all time. Sometimes referred to as the French Newton or Newton of France, he possessed a phenomenal natural mathematical faculty superior to that of any of his contemporaries.[2]
Laplace became a count of the First French Empire in 1806 and was named a marquis in 1817, after the Bourbon Restoration.
Contents
1 Early years 2 Analysis, probability and astronomical stability 2.1 Stability of the solar system 3 On the figure of the Earth 3.1 Spherical harmonics 3.2 Potential theory 4 Planetary and lunar inequalities 4.1 Jupiter–Saturn great inequality 4.2 Lunar inequalities 5 Celestial mechanics 6 Black holes 7 Arcueil 8 Religious opinions 8.1 I had no need of that hypothesis 8.2 Excommunication of a comet 9 Analytic theory of probabilities 9.1 Probabilitygenerating function 9.2 Least squares 9.3 Inductive probability 10 Laplace's demon 11 Laplace transforms 12 Other discoveries and accomplishments 12.1 Mathematics 12.2 Surface tension 12.3 Speed of sound 13 Political ambitions 14 Honours 15 Quotes 16 In popular culture 17 References 18 Bibliography 18.1 By Laplace 18.1.1 English translations 18.2 About Laplace and his work 19 External links
Early years
Many details of the life of Laplace were lost when the family château burned in 1925.[3] Laplace was born in BeaumontenAuge, Normandy in 1749. According to W. W. Rouse Ball,[4] he was the son of a small cottager or perhaps a farmlabourer, and owed his education to the interest excited in some wealthy neighbours by his abilities and engaging presence. Very little is known of his early years. It would seem that from a pupil he became an usher in the school at Beaumont; but, having procured a letter of introduction to d'Alembert, he went to Paris to push his fortune. However, Karl Pearson[3] is scathing about the accuracies in Rouse Ball's account and states:
Indeed Caen was probably in Laplace's day the most intellectually active of all the towns of Normandy. It was here that Laplace was educated and was provisionally a professor. It was here he wrote his first paper published in the Mélanges of the Royal Society of Turin, Tome iv. 1766–1769, at least two years before he went at 22 or 23 to Paris in 1771. Thus before he was 20 he was in touch with Lagrange in Turin. He did not go to Paris a raw selftaught country lad with only a peasant background! In 1765 at the age of sixteen Laplace left the "School of the Duke of Orleans" in Beaumont and went to the University of Caen, where he appears to have studied for five years. The 'École Militaire' of Beaumont did not replace the old school until 1776.
His parents were from comfortable families. His father was Pierre Laplace, and his mother was MarieAnne Sochon. The Laplace family was involved in agriculture until at least 1750, but Pierre Laplace senior was also a cider merchant and syndic of the town of Beaumont.
Pierre Simon Laplace attended a school in the village run at a Benedictine priory, his father intending that he be ordained in the Roman Catholic Church. At sixteen, to further his father's intention, he was sent to the University of Caen to read theology.[5]
At the university, he was mentored by two enthusiastic teachers of mathematics, Christophe Gadbled and Pierre Le Canu, who awoke his zeal for the subject. Laplace did not graduate in theology but left for Paris with a letter of introduction from Le Canu to Jean le Rond d'Alembert.[5]
According to his greatgreatgrandson,[3] d'Alembert received him rather poorly, and to get rid of him gave him a thick mathematics book, saying to come back when he had read it. When Laplace came back a few days later, d'Alembert was even less friendly and did not hide his opinion that it was impossible that Laplace could have read and understood the book. But upon questioning him, he realized that it was true, and from that time he took Laplace under his care.
Another version is that Laplace solved overnight a problem that d'Alembert set him for submission the following week, then solved a harder problem the following night. D'Alembert was impressed and recommended him for a teaching place in the École Militaire.[6]
With a secure income and undemanding teaching, Laplace now threw himself into original research and in the next seventeen years, 1771–1787, he produced much of his original work in astronomy.[7]
Laplace further impressed the Marquis de Condorcet, and already in 1771 Laplace felt that he was entitled to membership of the French Academy of Sciences. However, in that year, admission went to AlexandreThéophile Vandermonde and in 1772 to Jacques Antoine Joseph Cousin. Laplace was disgruntled, and at the beginning of 1773, d'Alembert wrote to Lagrange in Berlin to ask if a position could be found for Laplace there. However, Condorcet became permanent secretary of the Académie in February and Laplace was elected associate member on 31 March, at age 24.[8]
He married MarieCharlotte de Courty de Romanges in his late thirties and the couple had a daughter, Sophie, and a son, CharlesÉmile (b. 1789).[3][9]
Analysis, probability and astronomical stability
Laplace's early published work in 1771 started with differential equations and finite differences but he was already starting to think about the mathematical and philosophical concepts of probability and statistics.[10] However, before his election to the Académie in 1773, he had already drafted two papers that would establish his reputation. The first, Mémoire sur la probabilité des causes par les événements was ultimately published in 1774 while the second paper, published in 1776, further elaborated his statistical thinking and also began his systematic work on celestial mechanics and the stability of the solar system. The two disciplines would always be interlinked in his mind. "Laplace took probability as an instrument for repairing defects in knowledge."[11] Laplace's work on probability and statistics is discussed below with his mature work on the Analytic theory of probabilities.
Stability of the solar system
Sir Isaac Newton had published his Philosophiae Naturalis Principia Mathematica in 1687 in which he gave a derivation of Kepler's laws, which describe the motion of the planets, from his laws of motion and his law of universal gravitation. However, though Newton had privately developed the methods of calculus, all his published work used cumbersome geometric reasoning, unsuitable to account for the more subtle higherorder effects of interactions between the planets. Newton himself had doubted the possibility of a mathematical solution to the whole, even concluding that periodic divine intervention was necessary to guarantee the stability of the solar system.
Dispensing with the hypothesis of divine intervention would be a major activity of Laplace's scientific life.[12] It is now generally regarded that Laplace's methods on their own, though vital to the development of the theory, are not sufficiently precise to demonstrate the stability of the Solar System,[13] and indeed, the Solar System is now understood to be chaotic, although it actually appears to be fairly stable.
One particular problem from observational astronomy was the apparent instability whereby Jupiter's orbit appeared to be shrinking while that of Saturn was expanding. The problem had been tackled by Leonhard Euler in 1748 and Joseph Louis Lagrange in 1763 but without success.[14] In 1776, Laplace published a memoir in which he first explored the possible influences of a purported luminiferous ether or of a law of gravitation that did not act instantaneously. He ultimately returned to an intellectual investment in Newtonian gravity.[15] Euler and Lagrange had made a practical approximation by ignoring small terms in the equations of motion. Laplace noted that though the terms themselves were small, when integrated over time they could become important. Laplace carried his analysis into the higherorder terms, up to and including the cubic. Using this more exact analysis, Laplace concluded that any two planets and the sun must be in mutual equilibrium and thereby launched his work on the stability of the solar system.[16] Gerald James Whitrow described the achievement as "the most important advance in physical astronomy since Newton".[12]
Laplace had a wide knowledge of all sciences and dominated all discussions in the Académie.[17] Laplace seems to have regarded analysis merely as a means of attacking physical problems, though the ability with which he invented the necessary analysis is almost phenomenal. As long as his results were true he took but little trouble to explain the steps by which he arrived at them; he never studied elegance or symmetry in his processes, and it was sufficient for him if he could by any means solve the particular question he was discussing.[7]
On the figure of the Earth
During the years 1784–1787 he published some memoirs of exceptional power. Prominent among these is one read in 1783, reprinted as Part II of Théorie du Mouvement et de la figure elliptique des planètes in 1784, and in the third volume of the Mécanique céleste. In this work, Laplace completely determined the attraction of a spheroid on a particle outside it. This is memorable for the introduction into analysis of spherical harmonics or Laplace's coefficients, and also for the development of the use of what we would now call the gravitational potential in celestial mechanics.
Spherical harmonics
Spherical harmonics.
In 1783, in a paper sent to the Académie, AdrienMarie Legendre had introduced what are now known as associated Legendre functions.[7] If two points in a plane have polar coordinates (r, θ) and (r ', θ'), where r ' ≥ r, then, by elementary manipulation, the reciprocal of the distance between the points, d, can be written as:
\frac{1}{d} = \frac{1}{r'} \left [ 1  2 \cos (\theta'  \theta) \frac{r}{r'} + \left ( \frac{r}{r'} \right ) ^2 \right ] ^{ \tfrac{1}{2}}.
This expression can be expanded in powers of r/r ' using Newton's generalised binomial theorem to give:
\frac{1}{d} = \frac{1}{r'} \sum_{k=0}^\infty P^0_k ( \cos ( \theta'  \theta ) ) \left ( \frac{r}{r'} \right ) ^k.
The sequence of functions P0k(cosф) is the set of socalled "associated Legendre functions" and their usefulness arises from the fact that every function of the points on a circle can be expanded as a series of them.[7]
Laplace, with scant regard for credit to Legendre, made the nontrivial extension of the result to three dimensions to yield a more general set of functions, the spherical harmonics or Laplace coefficients. The latter term is not in common use now .[7]
Potential theory
This paper is also remarkable for the development of the idea of the scalar potential.[7] The gravitational force acting on a body is, in modern language, a vector, having magnitude and direction. A potential function is a scalar function that defines how the vectors will behave. A scalar function is computationally and conceptually easier to deal with than a vector function.
Alexis Clairaut had first suggested the idea in 1743 while working on a similar problem though he was using Newtoniantype geometric reasoning. Laplace described Clairaut's work as being "in the class of the most beautiful mathematical productions".[18] However, Rouse Ball alleges that the idea "was appropriated from Joseph Louis Lagrange, who had used it in his memoirs of 1773, 1777 and 1780".[7] The term "potential" itself was due to Daniel Bernoulli, who introduced it in his 1738 memoire Hydrodynamica. However, according to Rouse Ball, the term "potential function" was not actually used (to refer to a function V of the coordinates of space in Laplace's sense) until George Green's 1828 An Essay on the Application of Mathematical Analysis to the Theories of Electricity and Magnetism.[19][20]
Laplace applied the language of calculus to the potential function and showed that it always satisfies the differential equation:[7]
\nabla^2V={\partial^2V\over \partial x^2 } + {\partial^2V\over \partial y^2 } + {\partial^2V\over \partial z^2 } = 0.
An analogous result for the velocity potential of a fluid had been obtained some years previously by Leonard Euler.[21][22]
Laplace's subsequent work on gravitational attraction was based on this result. The quantity ∇2V has been termed the concentration of V and its value at any point indicates the "excess" of the value of V there over its mean value in the neighbourhood of the point. Laplace's equation, a special case of Poisson's equation, appears ubiquitously in mathematical physics. The concept of a potential occurs in fluid dynamics, electromagnetism and other areas. Rouse Ball speculated that it might be seen as "the outward sign" of one the "prior forms" in Kant's theory of perception.[7]
The spherical harmonics turn out to be critical to practical solutions of Laplace's equation. Laplace's equation in spherical coordinates, such as are used for mapping the sky, can be simplified, using the method of separation of variables into a radial part, depending solely on distance from the centre point, and an angular or spherical part. The solution to the spherical part of the equation can be expressed as a series of Laplace's spherical harmonics, simplifying practical computation.
Planetary and lunar inequalities
Jupiter–Saturn great inequality
Laplace presented a memoir on planetary inequalities in three sections, in 1784, 1785, and 1786. This dealt mainly with the identification and explanation of the perturbations now known as the "great Jupiter–Saturn inequality". Laplace solved a longstanding problem in the study and prediction of the movements of these planets. He showed by general considerations, first, that the mutual action of two planets could never cause large changes in the eccentricities and inclinations of their orbits; but then, even more importantly, that peculiarities arose in the Jupiter–Saturn system because of the near approach to commensurability of the mean motions of Jupiter and Saturn. (Commensurability, in this context, means related by ratios of small whole numbers. Two periods of Saturn's orbit around the Sun almost equal five of Jupiter's. The corresponding difference between multiples of the mean motions, (2nJ − 5nS), corresponds to a period of nearly 900 years, and it occurs as a small divisor in the integration of a very small perturbing force with this same period. As a result, the integrated perturbations with this period are disproportionately large, about 0.8° degrees of arc in orbital longitude for Saturn and about 0.3° for Jupiter.) Further developments of these theorems on planetary motion were given in his two memoirs of 1788 and 1789, but with the aid of Laplace's discoveries, the tables of the motions of Jupiter and Saturn could at last be made much more accurate. It was on the basis of Laplace's theory that Delambre computed his astronomical tables.[7] ...
Lunar inequalities
Laplace also produced an analytical solution (as it turned out later, a partial solution), to a significant problem regarding the motion of the Moon. Edmond Halley had been the first to suggest, in 1695,[23] that the mean motion of the Moon was apparently getting faster, by comparison with ancient eclipse observations, but he gave no data. (It was not yet known in Halley's or Laplace's times that what is actually occurring includes a slowingdown of the Earth's rate of rotation: see also Ephemeris time  History. When measured as a function of mean solar time rather than uniform time, the effect appears as a positive acceleration.) In 1749, Richard Dunthorne confirmed Halley's suspicion after reexamining ancient records, and produced the first quantitative estimate for the size of this apparent effect:[24] a centurial rate of +10" (arcseconds) in lunar longitude (a surprisingly good result for its time, not far different from values assessed later, e.g. in 1786 by de Lalande,[25] and to compare with values from about 10" to nearly 13" being derived about century later.)[26][27] The effect became known as the secular acceleration of the Moon, but until Laplace, its cause remained unknown.
Laplace gave an explanation of the effect in 1787, showing how an acceleration arises from changes (a secular reduction) in the eccentricity of the Earth's orbit, which in turn is one of the effects of planetary perturbations on the Earth. Laplace's initial computation accounted for the whole effect, thus seeming to tie up the theory neatly with both modern and ancient observations. However, in 1853, J. C. Adams caused the question to be reopened by finding an error in Laplace's computations: it turned out that only about half of the Moon's apparent acceleration could be accounted for on Laplace's basis by the change in the Earth's orbital eccentricity.[28] (Adams showed that Laplace had in effect only considered the radial force on the moon and not the tangential, and the partial result hence had overstimated the acceleration, the remaining (negative), terms when accounted for, showed that Laplace's cause could not explain more than about half of the acceleration. The other half was subsequently shown to be due to tidal acceleration.[29])
Laplace used his results concerning the lunar acceleration when completing his attempted "proof" of the stability of the whole solar system on the assumption that it consists of a collection of rigid bodies moving in a vacuum.[7]
All the memoirs above alluded to were presented to the Académie des sciences, and they are printed in the Mémoires présentés par divers savants.[7] Celestial mechanics Classical mechanics History of classical mechanics Timeline of classical mechanics Branches Formulations Fundamental concepts Core topics Scientists Galileo · Newton · Horrocks · Euler · d'Alembert · Clairaut · Lagrange · Laplace · Hamilton · Poisson
Laplace now set himself the task to write a work which should "offer a complete solution of the great mechanical problem presented by the solar system, and bring theory to coincide so closely with observation that empirical equations should no longer find a place in astronomical tables." The result is embodied in the Exposition du système du monde and the Mécanique céleste.[7]
The former was published in 1796, and gives a general explanation of the phenomena, but omits all details. It contains a summary of the history of astronomy. This summary procured for its author the honour of admission to the forty of the French Academy and is commonly esteemed one of the masterpieces of French literature, though it is not altogether reliable for the later periods of which it treats.[7]
Laplace developed the nebular hypothesis of the formation of the solar system, first suggested by Emanuel Swedenborg and expanded by Immanuel Kant, a hypothesis that continues to dominate accounts of the origin of planetary systems. According to Laplace's description of the hypothesis, the solar system had evolved from a globular mass of incandescent gas rotating around an axis through its centre of mass. As it cooled, this mass contracted, and successive rings broke off from its outer edge. These rings in their turn cooled, and finally condensed into the planets, while the sun represented the central core which was still left. On this view, Laplace predicted that the more distant planets would be older than those nearer the sun.[7][30]
As mentioned, the idea of the nebular hypothesis had been outlined by Immanuel Kant in 1755,[30] and he had also suggested "meteoric aggregations" and tidal friction as causes affecting the formation of the solar system. Laplace was probably aware of this, but, like many writers of his time, he generally did not reference the work of others.[3]
Laplace's analytical discussion of the solar system is given in his Méchanique céleste published in five volumes. The first two volumes, published in 1799, contain methods for calculating the motions of the planets, determining their figures, and resolving tidal problems. The third and fourth volumes, published in 1802 and 1805, contain applications of these methods, and several astronomical tables. The fifth volume, published in 1825, is mainly historical, but it gives as appendices the results of Laplace's latest researches. Laplace's own investigations embodied in it are so numerous and valuable that it is regrettable to have to add that many results are appropriated from other writers with scanty or no acknowledgement, and the conclusions – which have been described as the organized result of a century of patient toil – are frequently mentioned as if they were due to Laplace.[7]
JeanBaptiste Biot, who assisted Laplace in revising it for the press, says that Laplace himself was frequently unable to recover the details in the chain of reasoning, and, if satisfied that the conclusions were correct, he was content to insert the constantly recurring formula, "Il est aisé à voir que..." ("It is easy to see that..."). The Mécanique céleste is not only the translation of Newton's Principia into the language of the differential calculus, but it completes parts of which Newton had been unable to fill in the details. The work was carried forward in a more finely tuned form in Félix Tisserand's Traité de mécanique céleste (1889–1896), but Laplace's treatise will always remain a standard authority.[7]
Black holes
Laplace also came close to propounding the concept of the black hole. He pointed out that there could be massive stars whose gravity is so great that not even light could escape from their surface (see escape velocity).[31] Laplace also speculated that some of the nebulae revealed by telescopes may not be part of the Milky Way and might actually be galaxies themselves.[citation needed] Thus, he anticipated Edwin Hubble's major discovery 100 years in advance.
Arcueil
Laplace's house at Arcueil.
Main article: Society of Arcueil
In 1806, Laplace bought a house in Arcueil, then a village and not yet absorbed into the Paris conurbation. Claude Louis Berthollet was a near neighbour and the pair formed the nucleus of an informal scientific circle, latterly known as the Society of Arcueil. Because of their closeness to Napoleon, Laplace and Berthollet effectively controlled advancement in the scientific establishment and admission to the more prestigious offices. The Society built up a complex pyramid of patronage.[32] In 1806, Laplace was also elected a foreign member of the Royal Swedish Academy of Sciences. Religious opinions
I had no need of that hypothesis
A frequently cited but apocryphal interaction between Laplace and Napoleon purportedly concerns the existence of God. A typical version is provided by Rouse Ball:[7]
Laplace went in state to Napoleon to present a copy of his work, and the following account of the interview is well authenticated, and so characteristic of all the parties concerned that I quote it in full. Someone had told Napoleon that the book contained no mention of the name of God; Napoleon, who was fond of putting embarrassing questions, received it with the remark, 'M. Laplace, they tell me you have written this large book on the system of the universe, and have never even mentioned its Creator.' Laplace, who, though the most supple of politicians, was as stiff as a martyr on every point of his philosophy, drew himself up and answered bluntly, Je n'avais pas besoin de cette hypothèselà. ("I had no need of that hypothesis.") Napoleon, greatly amused, told this reply to Lagrange, who exclaimed, Ah! c'est une belle hypothèse; ça explique beaucoup de choses. ("Ah, it is a fine hypothesis; it explains many things.")
In 1884, however, the astronomer Hervé Faye[33] affirmed that this account of Laplace's exchange with Napoleon presented a "strangely transformed" (étrangement transformée) or garbled version of what had actually happened. It was not God that Laplace had treated as a hypothesis, but merely his intervention at a determinate point:
In fact Laplace never said that. Here, I believe, is what truly happened. Newton, believing that the secular perturbations which he had sketched out in his theory would in the long run end up destroying the solar system, says somewhere that God was obliged to intervene from time to time to remedy the evil and somehow keep the system working properly. This, however, was a pure supposition suggested to Newton by an incomplete view of the conditions of the stability of our little world. Science was not yet advanced enough at that time to bring these conditions into full view. But Laplace, who had discovered them by a deep analysis, would have replied to the First Consul that Newton had wrongly invoked the intervention of God to adjust from time to time the machine of the world (la machine du monde) and that he, Laplace, had no need of such an assumption. It was not God, therefore, that Laplace treated as a hypothesis, but his intervention in a certain place.
Laplace's younger colleague, the astronomer François Arago, who gave his eulogy before the French Academy in 1827,[34] told Faye that the garbled version of Laplace's interaction with Napoleon was already in circulation towards the end of Laplace's life. Faye writes:[33]
I have it on the authority of M. Arago that Laplace, warned shortly before his death that that anecdote was about to be published in a biographical collection, had requested him (Arago) to demand its deletion by the publisher. It was necessary to either explain or delete it, and the second way was the easiest. But, unfortunately, it was neither deleted nor explained.
The SwissAmerican historian of mathematics Florian Cajori appears to have been unaware of Faye's research, but in 1893 he came to a similar conclusion.[35] Stephen Hawking said in 1999,[36] "I don't think that Laplace was claiming that God does not exist. It's just that he doesn't intervene, to break the laws of Science."
The only eyewitness account of Laplace's interaction with Napoleon is an entry in the diary of the British astronomer Sir William Herschel. Since this makes no mention of Laplace saying, "I had no need of that hypothesis," Daniel Johnson[37] argues that "Laplace never used the words attributed to him." Arago's testimony, however, appears to imply that he did, only not in reference to the existence of God.
Excommunication of a comet
In 1470 the humanist scholar Bartolomeo Platina wrote[38] that Pope Callixtus III had asked for prayers for deliverance from the Turks during a 1456 appearance of Halley's Comet. Platina's account does not accord with Church records, which do not mention the comet. Laplace is alleged to have embellished the story by claiming the Pope had "excommunicated" Halley's comet.[39] What Laplace actually said, in Exposition du Système du monde (1796), was that the Pope had ordered the comet to be "exorcized" (conjuré). It was Arago, in Des Comètes en général (1832), who first spoke of an excommunication. Neither the exorcism nor the excommunication can be regarded as anything but pure fiction.[40][41]
Analytic theory of probabilities
In 1812, Laplace issued his Théorie analytique des probabilités in which he laid down many fundamental results in statistics. In 1819, he published a popular account of his work on probability. This book bears the same relation to the Théorie des probabilités that the Système du monde does to the Méchanique céleste.[7]
Probabilitygenerating function
The method of estimating the ratio of the number of favourable cases to the whole number of possible cases, had been previously indicated by Laplace in a paper written in 1779. It consists of treating the successive values of any function as the coefficients in the expansion of another function, with reference to a different variable. The latter is therefore called the probabilitygenerating function of the former. Laplace then shows how, by means of interpolation, these coefficients may be determined from the generating function. Next he attacks the converse problem, and from the coefficients he finds the generating function; this is effected by the solution of a finite difference equation.[7]
Least squares
This treatise includes an exposition of the method of least squares, a remarkable testimony to Laplace's command over the processes of analysis. The method of least squares for the combination of numerous observations had been given empirically by Carl Friedrich Gauss (around 1794) and Legendre (in 1805), but the fourth chapter of this work contains a formal proof of it, on which the whole of the theory of errors has been since based. This was effected only by a most intricate analysis specially invented for the purpose, but the form in which it is presented is so meagre and unsatisfactory that, in spite of the uniform accuracy of the results, it was at one time questioned whether Laplace had actually gone through the difficult work he so briefly and often incorrectly indicates.[7] Inductive probability
While he conducted much research in physics, another major theme of his life's endeavours was probability theory. In his Essai philosophique sur les probabilités (1814), Laplace set out a mathematical system of inductive reasoning based on probability, which we would today recognise as Bayesian. He begins the text with a series of principles of probability, the first six being:
Probability is the ratio of the "favored events" to the total possible events. The first principle assumes equal probabilities for all events. When this is not true, we must first determine the probabilities of each event. Then, the probability is the sum of the probabilities of all possible favored events. For independent events, the probability of the occurrence of all is the probability of each multiplied together. For events not independent, the probability of event B following event A (or event A causing B) is the probability of A multiplied by the probability that A and B both occur. The probability that A will occur, given B has occurred, is the probability of A and B occurring divided by the probability of B. Three corollaries are given for the sixth principle, which amount to Bayesian probability. Where event Ai ∈ {A1, A2, ...An} exhausts the list of possible causes for event B, Pr(B) = Pr(A1, A2, ...An). Then
\Pr(A_i B) = \frac{\Pr(BA_i)}{\sum_{i}\Pr(BA_i)}.
One wellknown formula arising from his system is the rule of succession, given as principle seven. Suppose that some trial has only two possible outcomes, labeled "success" and "failure". Under the assumption that little or nothing is known a priori about the relative plausibilities of the outcomes, Laplace derived a formula for the probability that the next trial will be a success.
\Pr(\text{next outcome is success}) = \frac{s+1}{n+2}
where s is the number of previously observed successes and n is the total number of observed trials. It is still used as an estimator for the probability of an event if we know the event space, but only have a small number of samples.
The rule of succession has been subject to much criticism, partly due to the example which Laplace chose to illustrate it. He calculated that the probability that the sun will rise tomorrow, given that it has never failed to in the past, was
\Pr(\text{sun will rise tomorrow}) = \frac{d+1}{d+2}
where d is the number of times the sun has risen in the past. This result has been derided as absurd, and some authors have concluded that all applications of the Rule of Succession are absurd by extension. However, Laplace was fully aware of the absurdity of the result; immediately following the example, he wrote, "But this number [i.e., the probability that the sun will rise tomorrow] is far greater for him who, seeing in the totality of phenomena the principle regulating the days and seasons, realizes that nothing at the present moment can arrest the course of it."[42] Laplace's demon Main article: Laplace's demon
Laplace published the first articulation of causal or scientific determinism:[36]
We may regard the present state of the universe as the effect of its past and the cause of its future. An intellect which at a certain moment would know all forces that set nature in motion, and all positions of all items of which nature is composed, if this intellect were also vast enough to submit these data to analysis, it would embrace in a single formula the movements of the greatest bodies of the universe and those of the tiniest atom; for such an intellect nothing would be uncertain and the future just like the past would be present before its eyes.
—Pierre Simon Laplace, A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities[43]
This intellect is often referred to as Laplace's demon (in the same vein as Maxwell's demon) and sometimes Laplace's Superman (after Hans Reichenbach). Laplace, himself, did not use the word "demon", which was a later embellishment. As translated into English above, he simply referred to: "Une intelligence... Rien ne serait incertain pour elle, et l'avenir comme le passé, serait présent à ses yeux." Laplace transforms Main article: Laplace transform#History
As early as 1744, Euler, followed by Lagrange, had started looking for solutions of differential equations in the form:[44]
z = \int X(x) e^{ax} \,dx\text{ and }z = \int X(x) x^a \,dx.
In 1785, Laplace took the key forward step in using integrals of this form in order to transform a whole difference equation, rather than simply as a form for the solution, and found that the transformed equation was easier to solve than the original.[45][46] Other discoveries and accomplishments Mathematics
Amongst the other discoveries of Laplace in pure and applicable mathematics are:
Discussion, contemporaneously with AlexandreThéophile Vandermonde, of the general theory of determinants, (1772);[7] Proof that every equation of an even degree must have at least one real quadratic factor;[7] Solution of the linear partial differential equation of the second order;[7] He was the first to consider the difficult problems involved in equations of mixed differences, and to prove that the solution of an equation in finite differences of the first degree and the second order might be always obtained in the form of a continued fraction;[7] and In his theory of probabilities: Evaluation of several common definite integrals;[7] and General proof of the Lagrange reversion theorem.[7]
Surface tension Main article: YoungLaplace equation#History
Laplace built upon the qualitative work of Thomas Young to develop the theory of capillary action and the YoungLaplace equation.
Speed of sound
Laplace in 1816 was the first to point out that the speed of sound in air depends on the heat capacity ratio. Newton's original theory gave too low a value, because it does not take account of the adiabatic compression of the air which results in a local rise in temperature and pressure. Laplace's investigations in practical physics were confined to those carried on by him jointly with Lavoisier in the years 1782 to 1784 on the specific heat of various bodies.[7]
Political ambitions
According to W. W. Rouse Ball, as Napoleon's power increased Laplace begged him to give him the post of Minister of the Interior. However this is disputed by Pearson.[3] Napoleon, who desired the support of men of science, did make him Minister of the Interior in November 1799, but a little less than six weeks saw the close of Laplace's political career. Napoleon later (in his Mémoires de Sainte Hélène) wrote of his dismissal as follows:[7]
Géomètre de premier rang, Laplace ne tarda pas à se montrer administrateur plus que médiocre; dès son premier travail nous reconnûmes que nous nous étions trompé. Laplace ne saisissait aucune question sous son véritable point de vue: il cherchait des subtilités partout, n'avait que des idées problématiques, et portait enfin l'esprit des `infiniment petits' jusque dans l'administration. (Geometrician of the first rank, Laplace was not long in showing himself a worse than average administrator; from his first actions in office we recognized our mistake. Laplace did not consider any question from the right angle: he sought subtleties everywhere, only conceived problems, and finally carried the spirit of "infinitesimals" into the administration.)
Laplace.
Lucien, Napoleon's brother, was given the post. Although Laplace was removed from office, it was desirable to retain his allegiance. He was accordingly raised to the senate, and to the third volume of the Mécanique céleste he prefixed a note that of all the truths therein contained the most precious to the author was the declaration he thus made of his devotion towards the peacemaker of Europe. In copies sold after the Bourbon Restoration this was struck out. (Pearson points out that the censor would not have allowed it anyway.) In 1814 it was evident that the empire was falling; Laplace hastened to tender his services to the Bourbons, and in 1817 during the Restoration he was rewarded with the title of marquis.
According to Rouse Ball, the contempt that his more honest colleagues felt for his conduct in the matter may be read in the pages of Paul Louis Courier. His knowledge was useful on the numerous scientific commissions on which he served, and probably accounts for the manner in which his political insincerity was overlooked.[7]
He died in Paris in 1827. His brain was removed by his physician, François Magendie, and kept for many years, eventually being displayed in a roving anatomical museum in Britain. It was reportedly smaller than the average brain.[3] Honours
Asteroid 4628 Laplace is named for him.[47] He is one of only seventytwo people to have their name engraved on the Eiffel Tower. The European Space Agency's workingtitle for the international Europa Jupiter System Mission is "Laplace".
Quotes Wikiquote has a collection of quotations related to: PierreSimon Laplace
What we know is not much. What we do not know is immense. (attributed) I had no need of that hypothesis. ("Je n'avais pas besoin de cette hypothèselà", as a reply to Napoleon, who had asked why he hadn't mentioned God in his book on astronomy.)[7] "It is therefore obvious that ..." (frequently used in the Celestial Mechanics when he had proved something and mislaid the proof, or found it clumsy. Notorious as a signal for something true, but hard to prove.) The weight of evidence for an extraordinary claim must be proportioned to its strangeness.[48] "...(This simplicity of ratios will not appear astonishing if we consider that) all the effects of nature are only mathematical results of a small number of immutable laws." [43]
In popular culture
In Kamen Rider Fourze the Libra Horoscopes develops an ability called "The eye of Laplace" In Mega Man Star Force 3 Solo gains a wizard named Laplace. The idea of the Laplace Demon has been cited several times in Japanese pop culture: In the Super Robot Wars serial, Elemental Lord of the Wind Cybuster is said to be equipped with the Laplace Demon which can alter the Laws of Probabilities. In Gundam UC, the titular machine, the Gundam Unicorn, has the La+ (Laplus; Laplace) operative system, which is the key to obtain the Box of Laplace — a repository of secret information whose possession could change the course of the world.
References
^ Stigler, Stephen M. (1986). The History of Statistics: The Measurement of Uncertainty before 1900. Harvard University Press, Chapter 3. ^ [Anon.] (1911) "Pierre Simon, Marquis De Laplace", Encyclopaedia Britannica ^ a b c d e f g "Laplace, being Extracts from Lectures delivered by Karl Pearson", Biometrika, vol. 21, December 1929, pp. 202–216. ^ W. W. Rouse Ball A Short Account of the History of Mathematics, 4th edition, 1908. ^ a b *O'Connor, John J.; Robertson, Edmund F., "PierreSimon Laplace", MacTutor History of Mathematics archive, University of St Andrews., accessed 25 August 2007 ^ Gillispie (1997) pp3–4 ^ a b c d e f g h i j k l m n o p q r s t u v w x y z aa ab ac ad ae Rouse Ball (1908) ^ Gillispie (1997) pp5 ^ "PierreSimon Laplace". Catholic Encyclopedia. New York: Robert Appleton Company. 1913. ^ Gillispie (1989) pp7–12 ^ Gillispie (1989) pp14–15 ^ a b Whitrow (2001) ^ Celletti, A. & Perozzi, E. (2007). Celestial Mechanics: The Waltz of the Planets. Berlin: Springer. pp. 91–93. ISBN 038730777X. ^ Whittaker (1949b) ^ Gillispie (1989) pp29–35 ^ Gillispie (1989) pp35–36 ^ School of Mathematics and Statistics, University of St Andrews, Scotland. ^ GrattanGuinness, I. (2003). Companion Encyclopedia of the History and Philosophy of the Mathematical Sciences. Baltimore: Johns Hopkins University Press. pp. 1097–1098. ISBN 0801873967. ^ W. W. Rouse Ball A Short Account of the History of Mathematics (4th edition, 1908) ^ Green, G. (1828). An Essay on the Application of Mathematical Analysis to the Theories of Electricity and Magnetism. Nottingham. arXiv:0807.0088. ^ Kline, Morris (1972). Mathematical thought from ancient to modern times, Volume 2. Oxford University Press. pp. 524–525. ISBN 0195061365. ^ Euler, Leonard (1756/57). "General principles of the motion of fluids". Novi. Comm. Acad. Sci. Petrop.: 271–311. ^ Halley, Edmond (1695), "Some Account of the Ancient State of the City of Palmyra, with Short Remarks upon the Inscriptions Found there", Phil. Trans., vol.19 (16951697), pages 160175; esp. at pages 174175. ^ Dunthorne, Richard (1749), "A Letter from the Rev. Mr. Richard Dunthorne to the Reverend Mr. Richard Mason F. R. S. and Keeper of the WoodWardian Museum at Cambridge, concerning the Acceleration of the Moon", Philosophical Transactions (16831775), Vol. 46 (1749  1750) #492, pp.162172; also given in Philosophical Transactions (abridgements) (1809), vol.9 (for 174449), p669675 as "On the Acceleration of the Moon, by the Rev. Richard Dunthorne". ^ de Lalande, Jérôme (1786), "Sur les equations seculaires du soleil et de la lune", Memoires de l'Academie Royale des Sciences, pp.390397, at page 395. ^ North, John David (2008), Cosmos: an illustrated history of astronomy and cosmology. University of Chicago Press, Chapter 14, at page 454. ^ See also P Puiseux (1879), "Sur l'acceleration seculaire du mouvement de la Lune", Annales Scientifiques de l'Ecole Normale Superieure, 2nd series vol.8 (1879), pp.361444, at pages 3615. ^ J. C. Adams (1853), "On the Secular Variation of the Moon's Mean Motion", in Phil. Trans. R. Soc. Lond., vol.143 (1853), pages 397406. ^ Roy, A. E. (2005). Orbital Motion. London: CRC Press. pp. 313. ISBN 0750310154. ^ a b Owen, T. C. (2001) "Solar system: origin of the solar system", Encyclopaedia Britannica, Deluxe CDROM edition ^ See Israel (1987), sec. 7.2. ^ Crosland (1967) p.1 ^ a b Faye, Hervé (1884), Sur l'origine du monde: théories cosmogoniques des anciens et des modernes. Paris: GauthierVillars, pp. 109–111 ^ Arago, François (1827), Laplace: Eulogy before the French Academy, translated by Prof. Baden Powell, Smithsonian Report, 1874 ^ Cajori, Florian (1893), A History of Mathematics. Fifth edition (1991), reprinted by the American Mathematical Society, 1999, p. 262. ISBN 0821821024 ^ a b Hawking, Stephen (1999). "Does God Play Dice?". Public Lecture. Archived from the original on 8 July 2000. ^ Johnson, Daniel (June 18, 2007), "The Hypothetical Atheist", Commentary. ^ E. Emerson (1910). Comet Lore. Schilling Press, New York. p. 83. ^ C. M. Botley (1971). "The Legend of 1P/Halley 1456". The Observatory 91: 125–126. Bibcode 1971Obs....91..125B. ^ Stein, John (1911), "Bartolomeo Platina", The Catholic Encyclopedia, Vol. 12. New York: Robert Appleton Company ^ Rigge, William F. (04/1910), "An Historical Examination of the Connection of Calixtus III with Halley's Comet", Popular Astronomy, Vol. 18, pp. 214219 ^ Laplace, Pierre Simon, A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities, translated from the 6th French edition by Frederick Wilson Truscott and Frederick Lincoln Emory, Dover Publications (New York, 1951) ^ a b Laplace, Pierre Simon, A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities, translated from the 6th French edition by Frederick Wilson Truscott and Frederick Lincoln Emory, Dover Publications (New York, 1951) pp.4 ^ GrattanGuiness, in Gillispie (1997) p.260 ^ GrattanGuiness, in Gillispie (1997) pp261–262 ^ Deakin (1981) ^ Schmadel, L. D. (2003). Dictionary of Minor Planet Names (5th rev. ed.). Berlin: SpringerVerlag. ISBN 3540002383. ^ A sense of place in the heartland, The Milwaukee Journal Sentinel Online
Bibliography By Laplace
Œuvres complètes de Laplace, 14 vol. (1878–1912), Paris: GauthierVillars (copy from Gallica in French) Théorie du movement et de la figure elliptique des planètes (1784) Paris (not in Œuvres complètes) Précis de l'histoire de l'astronomie
English translations
Bowditch, N. (trans.) (1829–1839) Mécanique céleste, 4 vols, Boston New edition by Reprint Services ISBN 078122022X — [1829–1839] (1966–1969) Celestial Mechanics, 5 vols, including the original French Pound, J. (trans.) (1809) The System of the World, 2 vols, London: Richard Phillips _ The System of the World (v.1) _ The System of the World (v.2) — [1809] (2007) The System of the World, vol.1, Kessinger, ISBN 1432653679 Toplis, J. (trans.) (1814) A treatise upon analytical mechanics Nottingham: H. Barnett
Truscott, F. W. & Emory, F. L. (trans.) (2007) [1902]. A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities. ISBN 1602063281., translated from the French 6th ed. (1840) A Philosophical Essay on Probabilities (1902) at the Internet Archive
About Laplace and his work
Andoyer, H. (1922). L'œuvre scientifique de Laplace. Paris: Payot. (in French) Bigourdan, G. (1931). "La jeunesse de P.S. Laplace" (in French). La Science moderne 9: 377–384. Crosland, M. (1967). The Society of Arcueil: A View of French Science at the Time of Napoleon I. Cambridge MA: Harvard University Press. ISBN 043554201X. Dale, A. I. (1982). "Bayes or Laplace? an examination of the origin and early application of Bayes' theorem". Archive for the History of the Exact Sciences 27: 23–47. David, F. N. (1965) "Some notes on Laplace", in Neyman, J. & LeCam, L. M. (eds) Bernoulli, Bayes and Laplace, Berlin, pp30–44 Deakin, M. A. B. (1981). "The development of the Laplace transform". Archive for the History of the Exact Sciences 25 (4): 343–390. DOI:10.1007/BF01395660. — (1982). "The development of the Laplace transform". Archive for the History of the Exact Sciences 26 (4): 351–381. DOI:10.1007/BF00418754. Dhombres, J. (1989). "La théorie de la capillarité selon Laplace: mathématisation superficielle ou étendue" (in French). Revue d'Histoire des sciences et de leurs applications 62: 43–70. Duveen, D. & Hahn, R. (1957). "Laplace's succession to Bezout's post of Examinateur des élèves de l'artillerie". Isis 48 (4): 416–427. DOI:10.1086/348608. Finn, B. S. (1964). "Laplace and the speed of sound". Isis 55: 7–19. DOI:10.1086/349791. Fourier, J. B. J. (1827). "Éloge historique de M. le Marquis de Laplace". Mémoires de l'Académie Royale des Sciences 10: lxxxi–cii., delivered 15 June 1829, published in 1831. (in French) Link to article Gillispie, C. C. (1972). "Probability and politics: Laplace, Condorcet, and Turgot". Proceedings of the American Philosophical Society 116 (1): 1–20. — (1997) Pierre Simon Laplace 1749–1827: A Life in Exact Science, Princeton: Princeton University Press, ISBN 0691011850 GrattanGuinness, I., 2005, "'Exposition du système du monde' and 'Traité de méchanique céleste'" in his Landmark Writings in Western Mathematics. Elsevier: 242–57. Hahn, R. (1955). "Laplace's religious views". Archives internationales d'histoire des sciences 8: 38–40. — (1982). Calendar of the Correspondence of Pierre Simon Laplace (Berkeley Papers in the History of Science, vol.8 ed.). Berkeley, CA: University of California. ISBN 0918102073. — (1994). New Calendar of the Correspondence of Pierre Simon Laplace (Berkeley Papers in the History of Science, vol.16 ed.). Berkeley, CA: University of California. ISBN 0918102073. — (2005) Pierre Simon Laplace 1749–1827: A Determined Scientist, Cambridge, MA: Harvard University Press, ISBN 0674018923 Israel, Werner (1987). "Dark stars: the evolution of an idea". In Hawking, Stephen W.; Israel, Werner. 300 Years of Gravitation. Cambridge University Press. pp. 199–276 O'Connor, John J.; Robertson, Edmund F., "PierreSimon Laplace", MacTutor History of Mathematics archive, University of St Andrews. (1999) Rouse Ball, W. W. [1908] (2003) "Pierre Simon Laplace (1749–1827)", in A Short Account of the History of Mathematics, 4th ed., Dover, ISBN 0486206300 Stigler, S. M. (1975). "Napoleonic statistics: the work of Laplace". Biometrika (Biometrika, Vol. 62, No. 2) 62 (2): 503–517. DOI:10.2307/2335393. JSTOR 2335393. — (1978). "Laplace's early work: chronology and citations". Isis 69 (2): 234–254. DOI:10.1086/352006. Whitrow, G. J. (2001) "Laplace, PierreSimon, marquis de", Encyclopaedia Britannica, Deluxe CDROM edition Whittaker, E. T. (1949a). "Laplace". Mathematical Gazette (The Mathematical Gazette, Vol. 33, No. 303) 33 (303): 1–12. DOI:10.2307/3608408. JSTOR 3608408. — (1949b). "Laplace". American Mathematical Monthly 56 (6): 369–372. DOI:10.2307/2306273. JSTOR 2306273. Wilson, C. (1985). "The Great Inequality of Jupiter and Saturn: from Kepler to Laplace". Archive for the History of the Exact Sciences 33(1–3): 15–290. DOI:10.1007/BF00328048. Young, T. (1821). Elementary Illustrations of the Celestial Mechanics of Laplace: Part the First, Comprehending the First Book. London: John Murray. (available from Google Books) Nikulin, M. (1992). "A remark on the converse of Laplace's theorem". Journal of Soviet Mathematics 59: 976–979.
External links Wikimedia Commons has media related to: PierreSimon Laplace
"Laplace, Pierre (1749–1827)". Eric Weisstein's World of Scientific Biography. Wolfram Research. Retrieved 20070824. "PierreSimon Laplace" in the MacTutor History of Mathematics archive. "Bowditch's English translation of Laplace's preface". Méchanique Céleste. The MacTutor History of Mathematics archive. Retrieved 20070904. Guide to the Pierre Simon Laplace Papers at The Bancroft Library PierreSimon Laplace at the Mathematics Genealogy Project English translation of a large part of Laplace's work in probability and statistics, provided by Richard Pulskamp PierreSimon Laplace  Œuvres complètes (last 7 volumes only) GallicaMath
Political offices Preceded by Nicolas Marie Quinette Minister of the Interior 12 November 1799 – 25 December 1799 Succeeded by Lucien Bonaparte
Académie Française Seat 8
Claude de Malleville (1634) Jean Ballesdens (1648) Géraud de Cordemoy (1675) JeanLouis Bergeret (1684) CharlesIrénée Castel de SaintPierre (1694) Pierre Louis Maupertuis (1743) JeanJacques Lefranc, Marquis de Pompignan (1759) JeanSifrein Maury (1784) MichelLouisÉtienne Regnaud de SaintJean d'Angély (1803) PierreSimon Laplace (1816) Pierre Paul RoyerCollard (1827) Charles de Rémusat (1846) Jules Simon (1875) Adrien Albert Marie de Mun (1897) AlfredHenriMarie Baudrillart (1918) Octave Aubry (1946) Édouard Herriot (1946) Jean Rostand (1959) Michel Déon (1978)
Pierre Simon de Laplace's Timeline
1749 
March 23, 1749

BeaumontenAuge, Calvados, Lower Normandy, France


1789 
April 5, 1789
Age 40

Paris, Paris, ÎledeFrance, France


1792 
April 18, 1792
Age 43

Paris, Paris, ÎledeFrance, France


1827 
March 5, 1827
Age 77

Paris, Paris, ÎledeFrance, France
